Re: [tied] Re: Your historical timeline

From: Brian M. Scott
Message: 35260
Date: 2004-12-02

At 12:23:39 PM on Thursday, December 2, 2004, alexandru_mg3
wrote:

I'd written:

>> Mind you, I don't see why Alexandru finds Roman use of
>> <-dava> so improbable,

> Because the Probability is defined as: 'Number of expected
> cases / Number of total cases'.

> So it's improbable: because I don't know any other case
> when the Romans built a NEW city and named it using
> '-dava' particle with no link with an OLDER one.

> Did you know a NEW '-dava' city build by Romans ?

> If yes, please post it here (will be a big historical
> discovery in my opinion), and I will count +1 in the
> 'Number of expected cases' variable that have a zero value
> inside it at this moment.

Mm, no. In order to have an expected value, you have to
have a probability distribution, which in turn depends on
your underlying assumptions. Your claim that the expected
value is zero is, in your words, 'only an affirmation'. In
fact I see no way to estimate an expected value.

Brian