>however, what the complains are about are
> Mr Kaya,
>
> Your ideas are original,
> different thanoriginality.
>
>arise due to
> If we see a pattern in life which we think did not
> chance then we have todue to something else. The heuristics
> start suspecting that it was
> of historical linguistics (e.g.rules of
> thumb) are substitutes for the use of probability theory. Thecommon
> heuristic of HistLing ischange). If the probability of a sound
> the RSC (recurrent sound
> change X (e.g. some soundchange)
> between languages A and B is p, then the probability of thissame
> sound change occurringetc. Since p < 1, every time we
> twice is p^2, three times is p^3,
> multiply we get a numbersmaller and smaller. Thus our confidence increases that these RSCs
>
> werenot due to chance
> and thus it was due to something else (e.g.borrowing/copying or
> genetic descent).metathesis, anagrams, etc too often it is not convincing
>
> If we use
> that these didnot arise
> due to chance.are ignorant of probability theory, and
>
> I know that most HistLingers
> many things they claimare true are plain false and others dubious, but the RSC heuristic
>
> issound, and you have to
> somehow use something like it if you want seriousattention from
> them. The basic idea isshow that the state of events is likely not
> always the same, e.g.
> due to chance.
>
> allingus wrote:
>
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