From: mkelkar2003
Message: 43443
Date: 2006-02-16
>wrote:
> --- In cybalist@yahoogroups.com, "mkelkar2003" <smykelkar@> wrote:
> >
> > --- In cybalist@yahoogroups.com, "Richard Wordingham" <richard@>
> > >average
> > > --- In cybalist@yahoogroups.com, "Brian M. Scott" <BMScott@> wrote:
> > > >
> > > > At 9:30:27 PM on Sunday, February 12, 2006, mkelkar2003
> > > > wrote:
> > > >
> > > > > --- In cybalist@yahoogroups.com, "Brian M. Scott" <BMScott@>
> wrote:
> > > >
> > > > >> At 6:21:19 PM on Sunday, February 12, 2006, mkelkar2003
> > > > >> wrote:
> > > >
> > > > [...]
> > > >
> > > > >>> Of the 35 most basic word vocabulary PIE and OC have 23%
> > > > >>> cognates. That is too many for a chance occurence.
> > > >
> > > > >> This is a non sequitur. It's also obviously incorrect:
> > > > >> apart from a tiny handful of possible borrowings, there are
> > > > >> *no* known cognates, since OC is not known to be related to
> > > > >> PIE at all.
> > >
> > > Let us remember that the chance similarity when applying comparisons
> > > by Swadesh's rules is about 8% For 35 meanings, that means an
> > > of 2.8 matches could be due to chance! 23% of 35 means 8 itemsproblem,
> matched.
> > >
> > > The probability of getting 8 or more matches out of the 35 is about
> > > 0.8%, which is impressive. However, that is the *best* of 5
> > > comparisons. It's not too many for it be mere chance, but I'm not
> > > sure how many comparisons were done to get a good score. The
> >They may have used only the five mentioned in the paper.
> > The highest number of matches was for OC and TB 74% (Table 2) which
> > means about 27 words match. I do not know if linguists consider these
> > families to be genetically related.
>
> Most do - the family is called Sino-Tibetan. There is much debate
> over how its branches are related.
>
> > You have raised a good point
> > about sample size.
> >
> > "but I'm not
> > > sure how many comparisons were done to get a good score"
> >
> > Chi square tests requires enough data points to fill every cell.
> With
> > thousands of words any language has i do not see that as a problem.
>
> You're missing the point. Ethnologue lists about 110 language
> families. If you were to do the comparison between each of the
> non-Dene-Caucasian families and Proto-Indo-European, you would be
> unlucky not to get such a good match.
>Yes, the comparisons have to be restricted to the basic words. It is
> Moreover, those 35 meanings are the ones considered most conservative.
> If you compared the words for a thousand meanings, any cognates would
> be drowned in the noise.
>
> Richard.