From: Piotr Gasiorowski
Message: 2038
Date: 2000-04-04
> really questioning is the value andmeaning of such a model, HOWEVER
> it is produced. If an evolutionarybiologist has a theory of bird
> origins which postulates that themaniraptorian clade divided into
> aves, dromaeosaurs, troodontids,therizinosaurs,and oviraptors, then
> he may or may not be correct, but Iknow exactly what he means.
> According to the papers at the Upenn websitethey propose that the
> tree model should apply to linguistic familieswhich are
> geographically spreading, so that separating members should nolonger
> interact. Fine. However, when the UPenn tree shows thatGermano-Balto-Slavic and Indo-Iranian divided from a common ancestor,
>
>what does this really mean? If I take their model literally, then one
>must assume that either (i) Indo-Iranian and Balto-Slavic
> independentlyunderwent a satemic shift or (ii) the satem shift
> occurred in the commonproto-language and Germanic underwent a
> retrograde centum shift! (Veryunlikely phonologically.) It is not
> just an issue with the placement ofGermanic either. For example,
> Armenian also has satemic features. Theproper conclusion really seems
> to be that the tree model is just not avalid representation of
> linguistic facts for the IE family. I stilldon't see the value
> of using fancy mathematics to "correctly" produce abad model!
> This linguistic theory produces contradictions whoseexplanation
> requires going outside the tree model itself, e.g. invokingareal
> change, or wave theory.Essentially, all they are saying is that OE (which is NOT a satem
>
> >
> >
>language) is nonetheless best placed inside the group which did
> undergosatemization. The literature I've read says there are
> incompletelyexplained peculiarities in Germanic which largely
> disappear if you posita strong genetic (but pre-satemic) relationship
> with the B-S and I-Ibranches.
> >emphasizes the anomalous position of
>
>
> The UPenn group certainly
> Germanic in construction of theoptimal tree. For example, they have
> found that if they removed Germanicfrom the tree construction, then
> they obtained a "perfect phylogeny",i.e. a tree for which all
> linguistic characters employed werecompatible. But does this mean
> that this "perfect" tree should beregarded as having established
> validity of the tree concept, andrepresenting an historic fact?
> There are many aspects of the "perfect"tree that are still very
> controversial. For example, it supports theexistence of a
> Greco-Armenian proto-language. Yet very crediblearguments have been
> presented against such an hypothesis, e.g. by JamesClackson in his
> 1994 Oxford monograph, "The Linguistic RelationshipBetween Armenian
> and Greek." There is a lot hidden in the UPenn resultsin terms
> of the linguistic characters employed and the values assignedto
> compatibilities.are doing seems to be 'tinkering'. They are
>
>
> > Much of what they
> attempting to find thoselinguistic features which can accurately
> predict known relationships,and then apply the same methodology to
> unknown relationships. One canonly wish them success.
>certainly did not intend my
> I wish any honest scientist well. I
> remarks to be "nasty", just an honestcriticism. However, my negative
> remarks are a reaction against what Isee as the UPenn's group
> tendency to "oversell" their method, or to"intimidate" with
> sophisticated mathematics. An example: In their IRCSreport they claim
> that one of the important results of their methodologyis "the ability
> to detect and handle loanwords that are notdistinguishable from
> cognates by traditional methods." This soundsreally wonderful, right?
> Isn't it great that they can feed well-knownlinguistic data into
> their miraculous mathematical machine and get suchstriking
> conclusions as the output? However, an examination of theirwork shows
> otherwise. The above claim is based upon their difficulty infitting
> Germanic into the tree. They found that using linguisticcharacters
> based upon phonology and morphology gave the tree in withGermanic
> wasHowever, if they used
> grouped with Indo-Iranian and Balto-Slavic.
> characters based upon vocabulary, then Germanicwas best grouped with
> Italo-Celtic. To explain the discrepancy, theyTHEORIZED a non-tree
> effect: that Germanic at an early stage hadborrowed much of the
> distinctive common Western vocabulary (e.g. Goth.`fisks', Lat.
> `piscis', OIr. `iasc') from Italo-Celtic. This is not anautomatic
> output of their mathematical apparatus, but an independentspeculation
> on their part. It is also not the only possible explanationfrom a western-European pre-IE substrate.) What the example really
> (e.g. the items in question could be independent borrowings
>
>shows, again, is that the tree model breaks down. If the underlying
>linguistic theory of separate development were correct, then it
> wouldn'tmatter which set of linguistic characters were employed
>(phonological-morphological vs. vocabulary) and the same tree would
>result. The fact that it doesn't just means that the tree model is
>insufficient.
>algorithms as a way of testing
> I can see some value in using the UPenn
> the limits of validity of the tree model.I see a lot of their
> conclusions as being not so different from whattraditional linguistic
> methods have produced using the same data, butperhaps better
> quantified. For example, it could be useful to have"compatibility
> scores" for different possible trees, or to see thatdifferent trees
> result from different linguistic characters. This wouldall be
> valuable if used correctly. However, this is not the UPennattitude.
> They take it as a CRITICISM of lexicostatistics thatthe
> "best-informed mathematical linguist who attempted such workmakes
> notably modest and reserved claims for the method." Instead, theymake
> very arrogant and overblown claims for theirs. They claim to"resolve
> longstanding open problems" such as the Indo-Hittite andItalo-Celtic
> hypotheses. They boast that their method "has been able toconstruct
> a robust evolutionary tree of the IE languages" whereas"traditional
> methods failed." This is just not honest.